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Consumer inflation seen rising in Jul. with core CPI +0.3% MoM, out 8:30 AM ET

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Top stories today:

  1. Consumer inflation seen rising in Jul. with core CPI +0.3% MoM
  2. Elon’s xAI makes Grok 4 free worldwide to take on OpenAI’s GPT-5
  3. Trump praises Intel CEO after meeting, says he has “amazing story”
  4. China chip export license fee originally 20% before being cut to 15%
  5. Trump family’s WLF announces $1.5B treasury company for WLFI

0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 and NASDAQ close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

Listen to our AI-generated podcast summarizing today’s newsletter (beware of hallucinations):

1. Consumer inflation seen rising in Jul. with core CPI +0.3% MoM, out 8:30 AM ET

  • CPI: exp. 0.2% MoM / 2.8% YoY in July, from 0.3% / 2.7% in June.

  • Core CPI: exp. 0.3% / 3.0%, from 0.2% / 2.9%.

  • 8:30 AM ET: the Bureau of Labor Statistics is releasing the Jul. CPI number.

2. Elon’s xAI makes Grok 4 free worldwide to take on OpenAI’s GPT-5

  • “Small number of queries per day” are given in the free tier, Elon Musk said on X.

  • The move expands Grok 4 access beyond X Premium and SuperGrok subscribers.

  • “Generous usage limits” are rolled out to all users for a “limited” time.

  • Grok 4 includes Grok Imagine, xAI’s AI video generation tool, which is currently limited to the U.S.

  • Grok 4 Heavy remains exclusive to SuperGrok Heavy subscribers.

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4. Trump praises Intel CEO after meeting, says he has “amazing story”

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