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  • CPI, core CPI at 0.4% MoM lead markets to now price in only 1 or 2 cuts rate in 2024

CPI, core CPI at 0.4% MoM lead markets to now price in only 1 or 2 cuts rate in 2024

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Top stories today:

  1. CPI, core CPI at 0.4% MoM lead rates higher
  2. Generative AI funding +11% QoQ to $2.2B in Q1
  3. Mistral releases open-source Mixtral 8×22B model
  4. X receives House inquiry about Brazilian order to suspend accounts

0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 and NASDAQ close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

1. CPI, core CPI at 0.4% MoM lead markets to now price in only 1 or 2 cuts rate in 2024

Inflation has been sticky at the 3-4% annual range, as we have been anticipating for some months now:

  • CPI: 0.4% MoM / 3.5% YoY in March, vs. 0.3% / 3.4% expected, from 0.4% / 3.2%.

  • Core CPI: 0.4% / 3.8%, vs. 0.3% / 3.7%, from 0.4% / 3.8%.

Inflation continues to be hit by high prices in housing rents and travel services

Markets now expect only 1 or 2 rate cuts in 2024, starting in September

Meanwhile, in China, consumer inflation came in at -1.0% MoM / 0.1% YoY, below expectations

  • CPI: -1.0% / 0.1% in March, vs. -0.5% / 0.4% expected, from 1.0% / 0.7% in the previous month.

  • PPI: -2.8% YoY, in line with expected, from -2.7%.

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3. Generative AI funding +11% QoQ to $2.2B in Q1, led by applications

4. Mistral releases open-source Mixtral 8×22B model, ahead of Llama 3 likely coming next week

5. X receives House inquiry about Brazilian order to suspend “100s, if not 1,000s” members of parliament, journalists: Elon

  • No comment from House members so far.

  • On Sun., Brazil Supreme Court judge Alexandre de Moraes opened on inquiry into Elon after he defied a secret order to block X accounts linked to opposition membes and journalists.

6. Interesting videos, posts, and memes

7. Other headlines

AI

  • Sam Altman pitches AI global coalition in Middle East trip.

  • Google Photos gets AI-powered editing tools for free.

  • Adobe buying videos for $3 per minute.

* Sponsored. Disclaimer: This is a paid advertisement for RAD AI’s Regulation CF offering. Please read the offering circular at invest.radintel.ai.

Tech

  • Starlink not profitable despite Elon’s claims: sources.

  • Elon to meet India’s PM, potentially preempting investment.

  • Guesty raises $130M at $900M to help property managers.

  • Turing Award goes to Ari Wigderson, complexity theorist.

  • Checkr, background screening platform, cuts 382 employees, 32% of staff.

*Sponsored.

Tech & law

  • Amazon must pay $525M to Kove over patent rights, jury decides.

  • Japan PM dinner with Biden attracts Bezos, Cook, Dimon.

Biotech

Crypto

  • Uniswap receives Wells Notice from SEC, “ready to fight”, UNI -17%.

  • Bitcoin leads in NFT sales on Wed.

U.S. politics

  • Trump loses 3rd bid to delay NY criminal trial, to start on Mon.

World

  • Iran and/or proxies likely to imminently strike Israel with missiles: U.S.

  • Hamas may not have 40 living hostages for latest deal.

  • Hamas: leader Haniyeh sees 3 sons killed by Israeli strike.

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