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  • Fed cuts rates by 25 bps to 4.50% - 4.75%, as Powell says he wouldn’t resign it Trump asked him

Nov 8, 2024

Fed cuts rates by 25 bps to 4.50% - 4.75%, as Powell says he wouldn’t resign it Trump asked him

Bay Area Times
Bay Area Times
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Top stories today:

  1. Fed cuts rates by 25 bps to 4.50% - 4.75%, as Powell vows not to leave
  2. CHIPS Act subsidy deals accelerated by Biden admin ahead of Trump takeover
  3. Mistral launches API for content moderation
  4. TikTok brings feature to share music directly from Apple Music, Spotify
  5. Global VC funding hits 2024 high in Oct., at $32B

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0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 and NASDAQ close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

Listen to our AI-generated podcast summarizing today’s newsletter (beware the few hallucinations):

1. Fed cuts rates by 25 bps to 4.50% - 4.75%, as Powell says he wouldn’t resign it Trump asked him

  • Unanimously voted by the FOMC.

  • “This further recalibration of our policy stance will help maintain the strength of the economy and the labor market,” Powell said.

  • “Not permitted under the law,” Powell said regarding Trump potentially asking him to resign.

    • Trump likely won’t try to fire him, according to a senior adviser.

Another quarter-point cut is likely in Dec., taking the target range to 4.25% - 4.50%

  • Dec. 2025: 3.50% - 3.75% priced in by markets.

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3. CHIPS Act subsidy deals accelerated by Biden admin ahead of Trump takeover

Over 90% of the $39B in grants have already been allocated, but only one binding agreement has been announced so far, the one with Intel:

Bloomberg, Commerce Department.

  • 20+ companies are still receiving awards.

  • Intel, TSMC, Samsung, and Micron are among the key participants.

  • Trump’s incoming admin could terminate or renegotiate some contracts.

U.S. chip facility investments soared to $129B through Mar. 2024, a +34% YoY increase from $96B

Bloomberg, Peterson Institute of International Economics.

  • ~$400B in commitments for U.S. factories have already been secured.

4. Mistral launches API for content moderation

Mistral.

  • The LLM classifier is trained to classify text inputs into 9 categories.

  • A fine-tuned Mistral 8B model powers the API.

  • Supports English, French, and German, among other languages.

Mistral says the API provided accurate results across all 9 categories during its internal testing

Mistral.

5. TikTok brings feature to share music directly from Apple Music, Spotify

TechCrunch, Spotify.

  • “Share to TikTok” enables track sharing to TikTok’s For You feed, Stories, or DMs via Apple Music and Spotify.

  • The feature aims to boost user engagement on TikTok.

6. Global VC funding hits 2024 high in Oct., at $32B

Crunchbase.

  • +11.5% YoY in global VC funding from $28.7B a year ago.

  • Late-stage funding was +30%, early-stage was +16%, and seed-stage was flat.

56% of all funding rounds in October were $100M+

Crunchbase.

  • OpenAI’s $6.6B round was the largest round in the month.

AI led all sectors, attracting $12.2B, or 38% of the month’s total funding

Crunchbase.

  • +94% YoY in AI funding in Oct. from $6.3B a year ago.

  • 373 deals were of the AI startups.

  • Health and biotech was the 2nd-largest sector, raising approximately $5.6B.

7. Female-founded U.S. startup funding +21% to $7.4B in Q3

PitchBook.

  • 2024 YTD is still -4%, at $38.5B.

Angel/seed rounds led the deal count for female founders, though most capital came from early-stage rounds

PitchBook.

Software, healthcare, and B2B services were the top sectors led by female founders

PitchBook.

8. VC-led investments for European femtech startups surpasses 2021’s peak

PitchBook.

9. Interesting videos, posts, and memes

10. Other headlines

AI

  • Amazon discussing new multibillion-dollar investment in Anthropic: source.

  • Anthropic teams up with Palantir, AWS to sell AI to defense customers.

  • Baidu said to unveil AI smart glasses with cameras, voice support next week.

  • Top-Quality Talent, 70% Cost Savings—Meet Athyna.

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Tech

  • Automattic launches site to track WP Engine exits after Mullenweg feud.

Tech earnings

  • Sony Q2 FY24 revenue +9% YoY to $19.45B, operating profit +73% to $2.96B.

  • Block Q3 revenue +6% to $5.98B, gross profit +19% to $2.25B.

  • Airbnb Q3 revenue +10% YoY to $3.73B, net income -69% to $1.37B.

  • Pinterest Q3 revenue +18% YoY to $898M, MAUs +11% to 537M.

  • Cloudflare Q3 revenue +28% YoY to $430M, Q4 forecasts below estimates.

Tech & law

  • OpenAI defeats news outlets’ copyright lawsuit over AI training.

  • Facebook unfollow tool lawsuit dismissed.

  • Zuckerberg avoids personal liability in Meta addiction suits.

Biotech

  • FDA approves J&J’s Varipulse pulsed field ablation system.

  • Weill Cornell scientists land $6.2M NIA grant to build portable brain scanner.

Business

  • China unveils $1.4T in fiscal support with local government debt swaps.

  • Boeing to repay furloughed staff, proceed with job cuts.

  • Rivian promises cost cuts, green credit sales amid weak EV demand.

  • BlackRock in talks about strategic tie-up with Millennium.

Crypto

  • Polymarket under investigation by France after whale bet on Trump.

  • Binance founder CZ interview on incarceration, investing in X, plans for future.

  • Jack Dorsey’s Square to invest more in BTC mining, shut “Web5” venture.

  • Dune launches dashboard tracking $2.5B lost to crypto hacks, scams.

U.S. politics

  • Trump speaks to “probably” 70 leaders, not Putin, but “I think we’ll speak.”

  • Iranian sanctions to drastically increase under trump: sources.

  • Susie Wiles appointed as Trump’s White House chief of staff.

  • House GOP control still at 97% odds.

  • SEC chair position could go to Dan Gallagher, former commissioner, now at Robinhood.

  • Biden urges Americans to “bring down the temperature” after Trump’s win.

World

  • Putin congratulates Trump, says he’s “ready” to speak to him.

  • China is Russia’s ally, Putin says, backing their stance on Taiwan.

  • Israel sends rescue planes to Amsterdam after attacks on football fans.

  • Japan’s political kingmaker says Trump policies may weaken yen.

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