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Top stories today:
- Harris, Trump at exactly 50% in Nate Silver’s projections
- Anthropic releases Claude 3.5 Haiku with 4x price of predecessor
- OpenAI said to be in discussions with regulators to become for-profit
- Apple to provide limited ChatGPT access via Siri for free
- Palantir reports record profit on “unrelenting” AI demand
0. Data and calendar
All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 and NASDAQ close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).
All times are ET.
Correction: yesterday’s calendar showed an incorrect BioNTech’s Previous data. It is correct now.
Listen to our AI-generated podcast summarizing today’s newsletter (beware the few hallucinations):
1. Harris, Trump at exactly 50% in top forecaster Nate Silver’s projections
Nationally, Harris is +0.1% in the polls.
In PA, Trump is +0.4%. Pennsylvania is the most likely tipping point state, and whoever wins it has a ~90% chance of winning the election, according to Silver.
Mon.: Harris was in Philadelphia’s art museum and addressed a crowd.
Trump was in Michigan and held his final campaign rally in Battle Creek.
5 PM ET: exit polls in non-battle ground states should come out.
6 PM ET: results are expected shortly after polls start to close then.
Joe Rogan explicitly endorsed Trump while interviewing mega-donor Elon Musk
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3. Anthropic releases Claude 3.5 Haiku with 4x price of predecessor
The price hike is to “reflect its increase in intelligence,” Anthropic said.
Claude 3.5 Haiku surpassed Claude 3 Opus’ benchmark performance.
Jun.: Claude 3.5 Sonnet was released; at the time, on par with GPT-4o, which has since surpassed it.
4. OpenAI said to be in discussions with regulators to become for-profit company
