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  • Monthly CPI turns negative in June for 1st period since 2022

Jul 12, 2024

Monthly CPI turns negative in June for 1st period since 2022

Bay Area Times
Bay Area Times

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Top stories today:

  1. Monthly CPI turns negative in June for 1st period since 2022
  2. AI startup funding 2x’s YoY to $24.1B in Q2
  3. Semaglutide linked to lower risk of cognitive deficit, nicotine misuse
  4. OpenAI creates internal 1-5 ranking of AIs, judging themselves at 1.5
  5. Google DeepMind says Gemini 1.5 used by their helper robots

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0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 and NASDAQ close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

1. Monthly CPI turns negative in June for 1st period since 2022

  • CPI: -0.1% MoM / 3.0% YoY in June, vs. 0.1% / 3.1% expected, from 0.0% / 3.3% in May.

  • Core CPI: 0.1% / 3.3%, vs. 0.2% / 3.4%, from 0.2% / 3.4%.

Markets now expect a 86% chance of a rate cut in September, from 70% on Wed

CME FedWatch Tool.

2. AI startup funding 2x’s YoY to $24.1B in Q2

Crunchbase.

  • Deal count -26% to 1,001.

  • But we had huge deals like xAI’s $6B fundraise, CoreWeave’s $1.1B, etc.

Asia startup funding, meanwhile, -32% to $14.6B

Crunchbase.

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4. Semaglutide linked to lower risk of cognitive deficit, nicotine misuse

De Giorgi, et al (2024). 12-month neurological and psychiatric outcomes of semaglutide use for type 2 diabetes: a propensity-score matched cohort study.

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