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OpenAI said to boost compute margin to ~70% from ~52% at end-2024

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Top stories today:

  1. OpenAI said to boost compute margin to ~70% from ~52%
  2. New York signs AI safety law despite Trump blocking order
  3. Cerebras said to file for U.S. IPO in Q2 2026
  4. Elon’s $56B Tesla pay package must be restored, Delaware court rules
  5. Sam Altman said to spin out brain-computer interface startup
  6. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.5 hits 50% task time horizon in under 5 hrs

0. Data and calendar

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All times are ET.

Listen to our AI-generated podcast summarizing today’s newsletter (beware of hallucinations):

1. OpenAI said to boost compute margin to ~70% from ~52% at end-2024

  • OpenAI’s post-compute revenue share has reportedly risen in recent months.

  • The ~70% compute margin remains well below levels seen at publicly traded software companies.

  • Anthropic posted a ~-90% compute margin in 2024.

  • However, Anthropic could overtake OpenAI in overall server efficiency over time, as it has fewer nonpaying users.

  • OpenAI’s margin gains were driven by an internal “code red” effort and lower compute rental costs.

Anthropic’s revenue has grown 8×, while OpenAI’s annualized revenue has ~3x’d since the start of 2025

2. New York signs AI safety law despite Trump order blocking state regulation

  • Fri.: Gov. Kathy Hochul signed the sweeping AI safety bill.

  • Jan. 1, 2027: AI firms with $500M+ in revenue must publish and follow protocols to prevent critical harm and report serious breaches.

  • Companies face fines for violations.

  • A new office within New York’s financial regulator will oversee enforcement, rulemaking, fees, and annual AI safety reports.

  • Developers must disclose AI safety incidents within 72 hours, stricter than California’s 15-day rule.

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4. Cerebras said to file for U.S. IPO in Q2 2026

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