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  • OpenAI’s Q* breakthrough may have precipitated Altman’s firing

Nov 24, 2023

OpenAI’s Q* breakthrough may have precipitated Altman’s firing

Bay Area Times
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0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

1. OpenAI’s Q* breakthrough may have precipitated Altman’s firing

Q* is seen by some as an improvement of this research published in May by OpenAI:

OpenAI.

  • Q* is a new AI model able to solve certain math problems without having seen them in the training data.

    • AGI-nearing advance, some believe.

    • Some employees sent a letter to the board warning them about Q*.

  • Another potential explanation for Altman’s firing: OpenAI hired MIT professor Aleksander Madry around summertime to develop a responsible training policy. He reported to CTO Mira Murati, rather than Chief Scientist and previous board member Ilya Sutskever, which reportedly irritated Sutskever.

In other OpenAI news

X: Sam Altman.

  • Thrive-led $86B tender offer likely to happen: group to buy $1B in secondaries from employees, possibly anticipating a larger primary investment into OpenAI.

  • Potentially false rumor: Altman was fired from YC in 2019 for putting his own interests ahead of YC.

2. Inflection 2 announced, claims to be 2nd best LLM worldwide, just behind GPT-4

Inflection.

  • To be integrated into Pi after a “series of alignment steps.”

  • Trained on 5K NVIDIA H100 GPUs.

Our view: the top contenders to topple GPT-4 are Google Gemini, Claude 3, Inflection 3, and Grok 2

Prediction markets show 76% odds for Google Gemini, expected in Q1, to beat GPT-4. Of course, GPT-5 could come just a few weeks later:

Manifold Markets.

3. Roborock is giving BAT readers up to $400 off during Black Friday*

Roborock.

  • Roborock is ranked #1 in market share in the Robot Vacuum Category in Germany and Nordics, and #3 in the U.S.

  • 9M+ units sold.

  • New features: 1) Fully automated empty wash fill dock, 2) Upgraded obstacle avoidance, 3) 2x stronger suction, 4) total control via their app.

Get your $400 coupon for a Roborock vacuum cleaner today!

*Sponsored.

4. GPT-4 can retrieve facts successfully up to 64K-token context length; Claude 2.1, only 19K

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