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Polymarket, Kalshi said to seek fresh rounds at up to 2x jump in valuation

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Top stories today:

  1. Polymarket, Kalshi seek fresh rounds at up to 2x jump in valuation
  2. Google touts quantum leap as Willow chip runs algorithm 13,000x faster
  3. Tesla Q3 revenue +12% YoY to $28.1B, net income -37% to $1.4B
  4. a16z said to target record $10B raise for AI, defense tech bets
  5. IBM Q3 revenue +9% YoY to $16.3B, net income hits $1.7B
  6. Crypto market cap tops $4T in 2025

0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 and NASDAQ close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

Listen to our AI-generated podcast summarizing today’s newsletter (beware of hallucinations):

1. Polymarket, Kalshi said to seek fresh rounds at up to 2x jump in valuation

2. Google touts quantum leap as Willow chip runs algorithm 13,000x faster

  • The Willow chip ran the ā€œQuantum Echoesā€ algorithm 13,000 times faster than the world’s best supercomputer, Google said.

  • The algorithm is verifiable and can be repeated on another quantum computer.

  • ā€œThe key thing about verifiability is it’s a huge step in the path toward a real world application,ā€ Google Quantum AI’s staff research scientist Tom O’Brien said.

  • Medicine and materials science are among the potential applications of the breakthrough.

  • Alphabet shares rose as much as 2.4% Wed. on the announcement.

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4. Tesla Q3 revenue +12% YoY to $28.1B, net income -37% to $1.4B

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