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Rates expected to remain steady for longer, suggests Fed Chairman

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Top stories today:

  1. Rates expected to remain steady for longer, suggests Powell
  2. FTX general counsel: SBF wanted “legal justifications”
  3. Israel: U.S. ship near Yemen shoots down 3 missiles, drones
  4. Google introduces English speech practice inside Search
  5. X Premium's 2 new tiers confirmed by Elon, “soon”
  6. Existing home sales drop below 2020 low
  7. OpenAI: DALL-E 3 out, Thrive Capital leading round

0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

1. Rates expected to remain steady for longer, suggests Fed Chair

  • Jay Powell again said the Fed “could” tighten rates further, rather than “would”, repeating phrasing used in August. - Axios

  • Could have done less stimulus: “With the benefit of hindsight, could we have done a little bit less and had a little bit of inflation? I guess we could.”

  • The path of U.S. debt is unsustainable, but not the current level, argued Powell.

Markets now price in 98% chance of no rate change in November, with 50 bps of cuts in 2024

2. FTX's former general counsel: SBF wanted “legal justifications” for $7B hole

  • Sun proposed 3 “theoretical arguments,” but “there were no legal justifications for funds missing, testified Can Sun. - Techcrunch

  • The trial is on break until Oct. 26, when the defense's team may start presenting their case, which can include putting SBF on the stand. - TIME

  • Both parties have submitted jury instruction requests. - The Block

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4. Israel: U.S. destroyer near Yemen shoots down 3 missiles, drones

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