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  • Rates expected to remain steady for longer, suggests Fed Chairman

Oct 20, 2023

Rates expected to remain steady for longer, suggests Fed Chairman

Bay Area Times
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0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

1. Rates expected to remain steady for longer, suggests Fed Chair

  • Jay Powell again said the Fed ā€œcouldā€ tighten rates further, rather than ā€œwouldā€, repeating phrasing used in August. - Axios

  • Could have done less stimulus: ā€œWith the benefit of hindsight, could we have done a little bit less and had a little bit of inflation? I guess we could.ā€

  • The path of U.S. debt is unsustainable, but not the current level, argued Powell.

Markets now price in 98% chance of no rate change in November, with 50 bps of cuts in 2024

CME FedWatch.

2. FTX's former general counsel: SBF wanted ā€œlegal justificationsā€ for $7B hole

  • Sun proposed 3 ā€œtheoretical arguments,ā€ but ā€œthere were no legal justifications for funds missing, testified Can Sun. - Techcrunch

  • The trial is on break until Oct. 26, when the defense's team may start presenting their case, which can include putting SBF on the stand. - TIME

  • Both parties have submitted jury instruction requests. - The Block

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4. Israel: U.S. destroyer near Yemen shoots down 3 missiles, drones

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