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SpaceX said to post ~$8B profit as banks float $1.5T IPO, ~188× P/E

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Top stories today:

  1. SpaceX said to post ~$8B profit as banks float $1.5T IPO, ~188× P/E
  2. Waymo said to near $16B round at $110B valuation
  3. Trump’s World Liberty sold 49% stake to Abu Dhabi royal
  4. Apple said to explore clamshell foldable iPhone after 1st model
  5. Bitcoin drops to $77K, hits lowest level since Apr. 2025 tariff shock
  6. OpenClaw sparks interest while facing early security challenges

0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 and NASDAQ close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

Listen to our AI-generated podcast summarizing today’s newsletter (beware of hallucinations):

1. SpaceX said to post ~$8B profit as banks float $1.5T IPO, ~188× P/E

2. Waymo said to near $16B round at $110B valuation

  • Dragoneer, Sequoia Capital, DST Global, a16z, and Mubadala are participating.

  • Alphabet will reportedly contribute 75%+ of the funding round.

  • 125M+ fully autonomous miles logged on U.S. roads with few related incidents.

  • 1M rides per week expected in 2026 across SFO, LA, PHX, and MIA.

  • Funding would support a broader U.S. rollout, including New York.

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4. Trump’s World Liberty sold 49% stake to Abu Dhabi royal ahead of U.S.-UAE AI chip deal

Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan agreed in Jan. 2025 to buy a 49% stake in World Liberty for $500M:

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