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  • Anthropic captures 73%+ of new AI spend, up from 50/50 with OpenAI in Jan.

Anthropic captures 73%+ of new AI spend, up from 50/50 with OpenAI in Jan.

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Top stories today:

  1. Anthropic captures 73%+ of new AI spend
  2. Fed holds rates as Iran war clouds outlook
  3. Brent oil hits $111 as Trump calls for de-escalation
  4. Tempo launches open-source protocol for AI agent transactions
  5. Fal said to seek $300M-$350M at $8B valuation as ARR hits $400M
  6. Meta Quest users lose Horizon Worlds access

0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 and NASDAQ close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

Listen to our AI-generated podcast summarizing today’s newsletter (beware of hallucinations):

1. Anthropic captures 73%+ of new AI spend, up from 50/50 with OpenAI in Jan.

  • It was 60/40 in OpenAI’s favor as recently as early Dec.

  • OpenAI is on its pace to generate $25B in revenue in 2026, vs. Anthropic’s $19B.

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3. Fed holds rates as Iran war clouds outlook

Gov. Stephen Miran dissented, calling for a quarter-point cut.

Powell expressed caution on cuts, though 12 of 19 officials projected at least one cut this year

4. Brent oil hits $111 as Trump calls for de-escalation

Brent was +8%, while WTI traded at $97:

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